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Crown Green Handicap

Dave Patterson

Team: Thingwall BDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

788

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

3

Wins

10

Losses

23%

Win Rate

13.0

Avg Win Margin

9.5

Avg Loss Margin

3-3

Home Record

0-7

Away Record

16%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
13 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/2/2016

Only 13 of the 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

27 Apr12 May7 Jun23 Jun7 Jul19 Jul2 Aug-13713

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
23%
score-0.54→contribution-0.19
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
13.0
score+0.83→contribution+0.19
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.5
score-0.25→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
23%
score-0.54→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(15%)
874
score-0.71→contribution-0.11
Weighted Score-0.198
Sample Size Confidence
16%(13/33 matches)
Rating921 → shrunk 988→ adjusted 788
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

3W10L13 matches·23.1% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2016Division C1331023.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/2/2016Janet SnedkerA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
7/28/2016Hilary ChaltonH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision C
7/19/2016Wally SmithH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/12/2016Joey SmithH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
7/7/2016Graham WrightA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
6/30/2016Trevor DuckersA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
6/23/2016Don ChalkleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C
6/15/2016vs Hoylake CentralA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C
6/7/2016Roger HampsonH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision C
6/2/2016Ann PritchardA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
5/12/2016Hadgie ThompsonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016John WyburnH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision C
4/27/2016vs Oxton Cons CA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
Geoff Clare Trophy1 games · 0W
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundKathryn McaseyBromborough Recs B20-21LOSSWON

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LWLLL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LWLLLLWLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Janet Snedker0110%8/2/2016
Hilary Chalton101100%7/28/2016
Wally Smith0110%7/19/2016
Joey Smith0110%7/12/2016
Graham Wright0110%7/7/2016
Trevor Duckers0110%6/30/2016
Don Chalkley101100%6/23/2016
Hoylake Central0110%6/15/2016
Roger Hampson0110%6/7/2016
Ann Pritchard0110%6/2/2016
Biggest Win
Hilary Chalton (+18)7/28/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-18)6/15/2016
Best Season
201623% · 13 matches
Worst Season
201623% · 13 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
17% → 29%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7968 known · 5 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-529% win rate
Division C23.1%
3W·10L·13 played

Debut

Apr 27, 2016

Latest

Aug 2, 2016

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

13.0 (13 total)

Seasons

2016